TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c21,682$14,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,325.856,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c18,510$5,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,164.934,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over44c7,394$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.84841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under55c3,000$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.841,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c2,896$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.822,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over45c2,205$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.552766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+64.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over43c1,987$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.377636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Under64c1,817$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.853647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under60c1,680$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over50c805$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.816462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over39c782.19$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.639551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under55c756.28$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.083148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.52548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over46c715.72$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.9320143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x023a…be6bbacked Under72c698.3$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e66…8cf9backed Over48c632.46$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.631735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over38c533.28$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.165646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over29c525.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.885442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under41c513.33$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.795538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under62c499.99$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over34c421.69$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4318139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over49c404.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.92356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over25c404.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.275335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over59c367.41$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2413841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c349.14$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.631,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over55c346.63$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.635855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c337.38$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.712,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078e…7952backed Under53c312.53$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over65c308.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2135347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16221839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over50c296.84$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.141741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Under57c265.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.512147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf6…773bbacked Over40c252.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over32c220.59$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0510244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Over37c208.87$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.582825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3319259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Over48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10544036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5939651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under52c189.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3815049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb7…618ebacked Over46c189.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over47c178.02$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.59733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Over31c170.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.07560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under55c164.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.279346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc581…ade5backed Over74c163.11$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.11650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under53c158$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.742060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Over37c156.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.673743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed Over70c150.47$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a22…f8d8backed Under76c132.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.589245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over39c130$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.35056%28 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Over71c126.37$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3330666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xaa75…d73fbacked Over70c126.22$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over47c120.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.012548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6606…a628backed Over48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.581855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6425057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked Over31c111.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.21785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+62.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under48c110.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9940841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over47c105.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9222244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0726backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over38c102.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.412133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under53c102.02$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.472846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3290…5079backed Over71c100.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Over31c100.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.411330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over41c97.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6835134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Under51c97.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.381040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under66c96.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over70c92.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.864047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over27c92.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.066440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under53c87.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0839052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…ae86backed Under64c81.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857f…96ecbacked Under63c74.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.981070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x754d…893bbacked Under32c74.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.812240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-29.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed Under72c73.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.68650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under59c72.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef8…d22cbacked Under74c68.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.72540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Under72c67.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.341225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c16…8f87backed Over36c62.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+120.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over40c62.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6821143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Under56c61.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73850%19 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.513531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed Under45c55.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2837840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Under50c51.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Under73c50.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.07944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed Over44c50.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8812245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.