Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45e6fc3120a2f41cda2964d2a0fe193926860d8a7d6f218a1aaf17f0de7359d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 7,734$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 79c | 1,518$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.1 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Under | 24c | 620.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 21c | 499.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 19c | 491.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 17c | 457.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 13c | 294.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 80c | 176.33$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 21c | 147.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 20c | 135.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 79c | 135.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…7f8cbacked Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Over | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…93cbbacked Over | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…d65ebacked Over | 77c | 60.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 79c | 25.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…1e3ebacked Over | 79c | 13.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.