Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Anhelina Kalinina vs Joanna Garland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8a53a03867c6394fa5ee854dfbe164e20cadb4a1d3a526ae6bf7602e7f0a754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalininaof Kalinina, Garland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Garland | 0c | 3,798$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Kalinina | 48c | 3,642$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.75 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Garland | 54c | 1,634$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Garland | 48c | 1,227$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.32 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kalinina | 53c | 1,128$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kalinina | 54c | 1,115$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.96 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Kalinina | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.21 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Garland | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Garland | 20c | 533.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Garland | 47c | 428.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Garland | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Garland | 31c | 272.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Kalinina | 51c | 270.29$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Garland | 6c | 201.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Garland | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Garland | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kalinina | 52c | 196.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Kalinina | 54c | 186.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Garland | 37c | 170.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Garland | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Garland | 60c | 127.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Garland | 28c | 126.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Kalinina | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Garland | 18c | 117.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Garland | 30c | 102.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Garland | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Kalinina | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Garland | 20c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kalinina | 64c | 89.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Garland | 47c | 79.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Kalinina | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Garland | 39c | 54.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Garland | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Kalinina | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Garland | 32c | 44.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Garland | 46c | 42.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Garland | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Garland | 41c | 35.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kalinina | 54c | 31.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Kalinina | 52c | 31.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Kalinina | 53c | 30.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Garland | 57c | 26.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Anhelina Kalinina vs Joanna Garlandthis page
- Kalinina vs. Garland: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Kalinina vs. Garland: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kalinina vs. Garland: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kalinina vs GarlandKalinina won
- Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Garland (+1.5)Kalinina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.