CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa400427267faceeed8690c6b09ac2a97dea8547a9d0adbfd3f37d70b4366bf44

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, OG
Resolved: Jan 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $111,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,943 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports	50c	14,814$7,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,336.35	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports	64c	9,979$6,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,598.31	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked OG	39c	6,629$2,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,590.71	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked FUT Esports	60c	6,047$3,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,430.07	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+8.3wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG	42c	5,326$2,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,243.57	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked OG	55c	4,619$2,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.02	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports	51c	3,984$2,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,963.83	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed FUT Esports	67c	3,800$2,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.29	92	56.5%52 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed OG	26c	1,328$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.4	227	61.7%140 W · 87 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd2…7a7fbacked FUT Esports	62c	1,193$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.08	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+108.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed OG	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked OG	61c	999.99$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.31	341	47.5%162 W · 179 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked OG	34c	987.08$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.57	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG	29c	940.97$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.05	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed OG	34c	799.99$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	210	55.7%117 W · 93 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports	51c	757.99$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.94	550	43.1%237 W · 313 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed FUT Esports	69c	740.6$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.18	339	49%166 W · 173 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…8fbfbacked OG	32c	617.48$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed OG	50c	538.21$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.11	398	51.3%204 W · 194 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked OG	28c	500$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.79	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x553f…99b9backed OG	48c	499$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.52	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked FUT Esports	72c	416.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	227	54.2%123 W · 104 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked OG	37c	389.03$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.13	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed OG	23c	372.11$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.59	157	43.3%68 W · 89 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed OG	21c	360$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	932	61.7%575 W · 357 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG	49c	348.41$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.72	818	43.2%353 W · 465 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed FUT Esports	72c	345.15$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.84	93	37.6%35 W · 58 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed OG	58c	333$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.14	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OG	62c	310.44$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.47	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked FUT Esports	69c	291.26$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.46	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed OG	44c	278.55$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.52	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FUT Esports	39c	256.45$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.45	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked OG	34c	255.79$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.34	229	31.4%72 W · 157 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f99…f4d5backed FUT Esports	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed FUT Esports	61c	207.19$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.19	182	65.9%120 W · 62 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed OG	39c	204.92$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	972	30%292 W · 680 L	-23.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	1,278	21.9%280 W · 998 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed OG	19c	190$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.1	113	37.2%42 W · 71 L	-9.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked OG	50c	183.11$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.56	59	61%36 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c37…2994backed OG	49c	176.25$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked FUT Esports	72c	157.65$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.14	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed OG	40c	150$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked OG	35c	135$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.18	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked FUT Esports	56c	133$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.52	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked OG	32c	130$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed FUT Esports	51c	114.97$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.93	202	43.6%88 W · 114 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports	44c	108.87$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.05	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…2163backed OG	49c	104.15$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e1…c744backed OG	37c	100.76$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed FUT Esports	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4863…dfa4backed OG	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	151	51%77 W · 74 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed FUT Esports	41c	99.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	635	41.1%261 W · 374 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeed…7718backed OG	39c	93.12$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.86	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe71…72a4backed OG	12c	92.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed FUT Esports	62c	90$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.1	92	43.5%40 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b80…b3b2backed FUT Esports	45c	89.65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.47	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed FUT Esports	62c	83.09$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.26	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed OG	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed OG	55c	77.62$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.69	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed FUT Esports	49c	74.2$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.89	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked FUT Esports	43c	70.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.45	76	25%19 W · 57 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked FUT Esports	58c	66$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.72	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6f…3224backed FUT Esports	72c	64.06$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c5…deeebacked FUT Esports	42c	61.16$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.28per pick	46cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5754…9238backed OG	38c	58.64$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…4134backed OG	22c	56.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed FUT Esports	66c	54.55$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	225	56%126 W · 99 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked OG	39c	51.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed FUT Esports	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	113	61.1%69 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed OG	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	317	31.9%101 W · 216 L	-13.4wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked OG	39c	45.21$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd33…6c0dbacked FUT Esports	61c	45.21$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.63	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe615…506fbacked OG	27c	45.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d80…6fb1backed FUT Esports	65c	44.85$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked FUT Esports	68c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed OG	36c	30.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed FUT Esports	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeed…c44cbacked FUT Esports	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed OG	35c	29.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed OG	40c	26.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked FUT Esports	42c	25.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.07	164	48.2%79 W · 85 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed FUT Esports	58c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a67…0355backed FUT Esports	56c	24.35$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.82	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	66cpaid	+30%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed OG	51c	22.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c88…d85dbacked OG	64c	20.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf391…c013backed FUT Esports	71c	16.9$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.9	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)FUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event