TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeed…7718

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: College Football, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 51 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$17.43
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.74
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+54.5%+$13.62
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59.9%+$29.94
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16.47
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+128.2%+$31.15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$64.62
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$187.47
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.86
Will Dmitry "⁠sh1ro⁠" Sokolov win the HLTV Awper of the Year awardbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.83
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$18.75
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Delano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.57
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kai Kamaka III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.87
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.81
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+126.6%+$115.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.63
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.