TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION66c40,370$26,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,684.563,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis34c39,132$13,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,119.9813633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed PARIVISION60c25,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00013954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Astralis36c20,082$7,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,203.4688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis40c18,056$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.9224846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Astralis40c18,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9757647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed PARIVISION61c16,003$9,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,301.037440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Astralis40c9,100$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68028644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION59c7,500$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.9967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Astralis39c5,540$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.1713646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Astralis39c4,202$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.8345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis5c3,312$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.622,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked PARIVISION61c3,011$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.8425751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis18c3,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55097952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Astralis34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.982832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked PARIVISION61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0227452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION63c2,430$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.631,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd1…6b8ebacked Astralis40c2,101$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked PARIVISION62c2,079$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.7824440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis40c2,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x458e…fa79backed Astralis41c1,867$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION80c1,607$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.883,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed PARIVISION59c1,600$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Astralis38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed PARIVISION61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5855957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Astralis40c1,440$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57653746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…6d26backed PARIVISION60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Astralis33c1,050$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.325941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Astralis25c1,041$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.121737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9371…9943backed PARIVISION60c1,025$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.11366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Astralis18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2566034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37096740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis39c999.96$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9950833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed PARIVISION63c953.68$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9110942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Astralis18c936.68$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.257834.6%27 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca3…105cbacked PARIVISION60c918.05$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis17c885$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.955236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b7…3419backed PARIVISION60c812$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked PARIVISION62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4511241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…aae8backed Astralis41c799.98$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION60c721.56$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5632653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Astralis15c701.75$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9641716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION72c665.55$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.144,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked PARIVISION64c648$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2315145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c2…68b1backed Astralis39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed PARIVISION60c624.87$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9517761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed PARIVISION61c619.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.82646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis39c599.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eeb…caafbacked PARIVISION59c583.53$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Astralis30c580.39$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed PARIVISION61c570.49$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4918254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION58c564.17$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.951,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed PARIVISION71c561.19$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7420362.6%127 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Astralis41c536$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7620433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Astralis30c518.7$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.742711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed Astralis39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION72c500$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.391,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Astralis38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Astralis41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20511846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed PARIVISION62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19039851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Astralis40c499.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9934235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Astralis40c495$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19811940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed PARIVISION70c493.81$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.148549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9256…d93abacked PARIVISION78c475.8$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc104…a5c0backed PARIVISION64c475$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed PARIVISION79c458.68$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.142846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x017d…94f4backed PARIVISION60c444$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed PARIVISION70c427.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0911470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Astralis24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed PARIVISION75c401$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2534848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Astralis39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Astralis41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1647839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed PARIVISION59c399.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16476546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bd…5f54backed Astralis21c392.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.929338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked PARIVISION60c372.27$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2718443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked PARIVISION65c364.03$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.66459.4%38 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed PARIVISION73c358.1$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.979264.1%59 W · 33 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed PARIVISION60c353.14$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2616250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked PARIVISION63c349.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2115255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION79c345$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.621,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…ade4backed Astralis20c344$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Astralis14c336.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0321139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked PARIVISION60c334$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.61450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION60c331.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3726360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked PARIVISION61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8776748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed PARIVISION61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.879251.1%47 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION76c321.02$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4769863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7509…23afbacked Astralis20c319.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.981936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed PARIVISION59c316$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Astralis7c314.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.012,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PARIVISION78c308.48$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9832930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe7…1311backed PARIVISION60c307.78$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.112050%10 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4709…bda7backed PARIVISION76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12632352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed PARIVISION58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12615655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.