CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda083b212c573bb00b3e562dfad6c2bd911e2bda9cc2c4d7b47a1c07acaa3e21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fb6…242abacked PARIVISION | 60c | 7,495$4,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis | 40c | 5,299$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.6 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 11c | 4,805$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.13 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Astralis | 40c | 3,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.98 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Astralis | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Astralis | 12c | 1,200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 989.3$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.58 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Astralis | 8c | 928.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Astralis | 1c | 919.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed PARIVISION | 61c | 654.18$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Astralis | 40c | 492$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed PARIVISION | 72c | 417.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…3d22backed Astralis | 10c | 414.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Astralis | 12c | 366.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Astralis | 8c | 349.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 21c | 300.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed PARIVISION | 60c | 275$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 30c | 265$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…2fbabacked PARIVISION | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Astralis | 31c | 221$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Astralis | 8c | 212.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…7941backed PARIVISION | 71c | 147.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 143.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed PARIVISION | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Astralis | 26c | 122.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Astralis | 13c | 122.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Astralis | 13c | 101.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Astralis | 13c | 101.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…bea6backed Astralis | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Astralis | 12c | 96.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed Astralis | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Astralis | 36c | 91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Astralis | 39c | 83.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…499bbacked Astralis | 18c | 64.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION | 73c | 55.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Astralis | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…fc05backed Astralis | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 40.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed PARIVISION | 76c | 36.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed PARIVISION | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed PARIVISION | 77c | 31.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Astralis | 38c | 28.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…1bb0backed PARIVISION | 61c | 25.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed PARIVISION | 77c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed PARIVISION | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed PARIVISION | 74c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed PARIVISION | 60c | 17.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.