CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9195ac7cf7bbbc0ead8352d473a0333ee95e627dd66e244b21b8d48d2c67077d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,435$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 48c | 583.1$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.21 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under | 56c | 532.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.46 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 71c | 347$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 40c | 309.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…d93abacked Under | 71c | 273.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 54c | 185.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 34c | 148.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Under | 59c | 139.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 40c | 129.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…1ea7backed Over | 49c | 118.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…935ebacked Over | 50c | 107.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 32c | 80.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…78d4backed Over | 52c | 44.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 61c | 39.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…d7a8backed Over | 52c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 54c | 26.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…9452backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Under | 57c | 21.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…c170backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Under | 55c | 18.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.