CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a1aed02d057652b1e5d872babecaf704517e5fcd30bc917aa6a0641e5fbbc21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 52c | 6,499$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.34 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 1c | 3,731$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 47c | 2,822$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.77 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,813$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Under | 53c | 1,600$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.5 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 49c | 1,032$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked Under | 51c | 589.58$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…5c89backed Over | 43c | 528.95$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Over | 37c | 287.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Over | 47c | 274.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 32c | 253.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Over | 33c | 219.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Under | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Over | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Under | 59c | 176.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Over | 23c | 160.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 31c | 143.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Over | 43c | 134.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 60c | 123.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…2349backed Over | 35c | 121.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Over | 49c | 115.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Under | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Over | 39c | 102.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Over | 49c | 72.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked Under | 60c | 71.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…ef23backed Under | 52c | 65.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Under | 73c | 45.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Over | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Under | 66c | 36.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 59c | 31.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked Over | 46c | 25.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Under | 65c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.