Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Jackky and friends (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52618867039ad266cd9789e4ed71c499d0ebc7de7570ba57c0ce2f1814667d50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Jackky and friends
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed PlayTime | 34c | 2,054$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.88 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Jackky and friends | 2c | 1,891$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed PlayTime | 22c | 1,500$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.86 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PlayTime | 54c | 1,210$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.84 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Jackky and friends | 68c | 1,082$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.8 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked PlayTime | 30c | 806.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.46 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Jackky and friends | 63c | 700$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Jackky and friends | 18c | 554.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jackky and friends | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Jackky and friends | 66c | 452.01$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PlayTime | 34c | 423.01$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked PlayTime | 43c | 420.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.74 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…2dc1backed Jackky and friends | 63c | 387.26$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Jackky and friends | 57c | 302.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jackky and friends | 65c | 285.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked PlayTime | 54c | 233.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed PlayTime | 44c | 229.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Jackky and friends | 66c | 229.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed PlayTime | 56c | 224.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime | 77c | 219.43$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed PlayTime | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Jackky and friends | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Jackky and friends | 65c | 181.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jackky and friends | 68c | 154.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Jackky and friends | 75c | 132.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…a501backed PlayTime | 27c | 129.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PlayTime | 20c | 120.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…f8c6backed Jackky and friends | 80c | 117.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Jackky and friends | 19c | 109.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6971…d4a4backed PlayTime | 35c | 96.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Jackky and friends | 65c | 92.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Jackky and friends | 59c | 89.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed PlayTime | 37c | 85.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Jackky and friends | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked PlayTime | 60c | 80.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed PlayTime | 31c | 72.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PlayTime | 35c | 66.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…4602backed Jackky and friends | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Jackky and friends | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked Jackky and friends | 30c | 53.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Jackky and friends | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PlayTime | 41c | 44.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed PlayTime | 59c | 42.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Jackky and friends | 58c | 42.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Jackky and friends | 60c | 41.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Jackky and friends | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…27f4backed PlayTime | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Jackky and friends | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed PlayTime | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Jackky and friends | 50c | 24.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked PlayTime | 59c | 23.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed PlayTime | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…b4d2backed Jackky and friends | 63c | 19.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…eb47backed Jackky and friends | 80c | 17.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Jackky and friends | 63c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…75a6backed Jackky and friends | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.