Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb90ec4f6a4cadb0904de44fd8da9934b68c1dd74b2a7666a0bbfe1dea7e9799c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Radivojevicof Subasic, Radivojevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Radivojevic | 73c | 4,939$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Subasic | 20c | 3,410$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.67 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Subasic | 8c | 2,739$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Subasic | 18c | 1,828$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Subasic | 29c | 1,555$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.15 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Subasic | 6c | 1,472$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Subasic | 15c | 1,025$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Radivojevic | 74c | 951.49$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Subasic | 31c | 703.86$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Subasic | 7c | 521.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Subasic | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Subasic | 19c | 439.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Subasic | 15c | 409.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Subasic | 33c | 399.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Subasic | 13c | 293.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Subasic | 17c | 230.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Subasic | 24c | 207.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Subasic | 10c | 204.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed Subasic | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Subasic | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Subasic | 26c | 187.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Subasic | 13c | 136$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Subasic | 27c | 126.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Subasic | 33c | 109.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Subasic | 27c | 106.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Subasic | 16c | 104.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Subasic | 23c | 96.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Radivojevic | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Subasic | 20c | 91.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Subasic | 18c | 88.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Radivojevic | 78c | 78.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…ab4bbacked Subasic | 23c | 72.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Subasic | 18c | 71.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Radivojevic | 72c | 64.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Radivojevic | 74c | 62.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Subasic | 23c | 60.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Radivojevic | 72c | 51.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Subasic | 30c | 43.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Radivojevic | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Radivojevic | 70c | 31.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Radivojevic | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…c4adbacked Radivojevic | 78c | 22.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Radivojevic | 76c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Radivojevic | 71c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Subasic vs RadivojevicSubasic won
- Subasic vs. Radivojevic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.