Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80ca647187928d0fdc1450891ab9041f1a4ef3f62225dbac67c98f0d36e84ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Yes | 0c | 3,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 9c | 3,306$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 12c | 3,068$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.27 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 9c | 2,876$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 1,619$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,401$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 9c | 953$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 9c | 900.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a4…bdfdbacked Yes | 11c | 870.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…c471backed Yes | 10c | 717.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 8c | 636.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 9c | 556.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes | 4c | 482.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 8c | 458.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 9c | 420.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…70a6backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 9c | 363.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 7c | 346$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 10c | 286.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 285.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 7c | 285.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 9c | 280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 6c | 267.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 19c | 265.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 78c | 234.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 9c | 221.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Yes | 6c | 212.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 10c | 209.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Yes | 9c | 162.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 8c | 155.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 16c | 134.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 122.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 21c | 91.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 28c | 56.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 27c | 43.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…61d6backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…0ef8backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.