Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9bca285e81d7d42b0bd023c083c8ca710cce340e894e7222883c63e550a2e1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,285$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed No | 1c | 3,311$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,816$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.16 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 16c | 1,426$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.25 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,292$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.26 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 72c | 811.85$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.91 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 793.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.03 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 59c | 687.63$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 556.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 519.09$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.16 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 495.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.38 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 460.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 453.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.34 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 47c | 419.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 14c | 397.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.77 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 78c | 296$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 22c | 294.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…dc0cbacked No | 76c | 264.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 24c | 255.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 50c | 253.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 78c | 250$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 37c | 242.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 78c | 239.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 217.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…4553backed Yes | 60c | 212.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 65c | 197.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 58c | 175.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 13c | 173.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked Yes | 23c | 154.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 69c | 150.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 26c | 140.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 78c | 140.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 73c | 137.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 16c | 135$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Yes | 30c | 122.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed Yes | 79c | 108.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…ab6fbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Yes | 29c | 104.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…9534backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…6bbebacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…4037backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 14c | 92.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 77c | 84.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 17c | 77.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 30c | 68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…a6eebacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…5739backed Yes | 37c | 58.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Yes | 25c | 53.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 53c | 48.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 38c | 48.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed No | 45c | 47.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 42c | 43.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Yes | 31c | 40.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…0dfebacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 54c | 27.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a93…2b5dbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 68c | 24.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…54f1backed Yes | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…a83fbacked Yes | 79c | 19.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.