Bundesliga · resolved market

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7061cb5f4b3e9a55999fe874c2b35a7353415522e5286f16775a7a29af2286e6

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 14, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $279,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $229,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,059 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	7c	22,793$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,587.57	74	23%17 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	8c	22,746$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.7	762	34.8%265 W · 497 L	+9.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	8c	16,020$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.17	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	8c	14,060$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.8	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	11c	13,551$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,536.99	536	45.9%246 W · 290 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	8c	10,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	98	31.6%31 W · 67 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes	7c	6,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes	8c	6,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.98	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	8c	5,550$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	71	11.3%8 W · 63 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes	7c	4,898$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.89	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes	8c	4,536$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.88	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	9c	4,283$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.16	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	8c	3,641$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.7	447	49.4%221 W · 226 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8400…6772backed Yes	8c	3,033$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes	12c	2,605$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.16	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ac…b988backed Yes	12c	2,512$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes	7c	2,111$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.17	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb28d…83e4backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-78%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-7.8wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-6.0wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	11c	1,813$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.45	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Yes	22c	1,737$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.18	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	8c	1,604$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.86	151	34.4%52 W · 99 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	277	26.4%73 W · 204 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed No	78c	1,283$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.16	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes	8c	1,263$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.35	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes	9c	1,178$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a9f…1be8backed Yes	12c	1,154$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.17	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0da5…cf4bbacked Yes	9c	1,112$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	21c	1,080$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.76	511	36.8%188 W · 323 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	13c	942$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.46	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes	13c	910.6$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.91	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…6ad4backed Yes	8c	900$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	8c	900$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	150	24%36 W · 114 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	8c	812.22$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.31	407	44.5%181 W · 226 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	7c	637.1$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.97	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes	8c	611.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.74	228	29.4%67 W · 161 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Yes	20c	600$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Yes	8c	588.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked No	80c	507.83$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.57	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed No	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Yes	8c	482.13$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.57	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef1…d333backed Yes	7c	453.03$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.17	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc526…bf92backed Yes	12c	411.81$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes	10c	343.13$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.31	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Yes	8c	320.63$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1027…966cbacked Yes	9c	315$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	8c	297.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	149	34.9%52 W · 97 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ca…8edbbacked Yes	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5e…7952backed Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	65cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	21cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Yes	9c	222.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cf…c956backed Yes	10c	220$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d53…8a3ebacked Yes	15c	206.4$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.7	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	160	45%72 W · 88 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…bfd5backed Yes	21c	171.43$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fa…5365backed Yes	8c	170.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d5…d01cbacked Yes	7c	152.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes	15c	148.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d2f…5f86backed Yes	22c	147.81$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes	10c	127.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd0…de1dbacked Yes	9c	118.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Yes	15c	114.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	40	75%30 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	149	42.3%63 W · 86 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	21c	99.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5163…9a4fbacked Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf66…e148backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes	21c	64.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No	79c	63.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	225	62.2%140 W · 85 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0235…472ebacked No	78c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.62	35	82.9%29 W · 6 L	+8.1wins	+0.23per pick	60cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-14?this page
Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event