Earnings · resolved market
Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf426dc7e61039fdb5ea61c0c552d956276051ceb7b44fce8ee5075b5bd748aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e422backed Yes | 1c | 4,728$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked No | 68c | 4,559$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.36 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed Yes | 19c | 4,015$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,982$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…7d42backed No | 71c | 3,518$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 16c | 3,200$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.08 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4f…c6c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,954$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,200$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 27c | 893.01$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.16 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 22c | 722.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.8 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked Yes | 31c | 560.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…30f2backed Yes | 27c | 551.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 16c | 483$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 18c | 463$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 19c | 411.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 3c | 393.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 12c | 393.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 75c | 380.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked No | 34c | 354.78$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 28c | 345$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…b05abacked Yes | 19c | 257$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…f4b3backed No | 80c | 253.8$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…07b6backed Yes | 15c | 237.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…9e46backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 31c | 190$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…4133backed No | 14c | 184.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +462.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 45c | 178.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 70c | 142.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…a1a4backed No | 14c | 141.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…3e9cbacked No | 72c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…1638backed No | 65c | 134.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +476.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 77c | 129.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 16c | 124.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 17c | 118.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…775cbacked Yes | 17c | 116.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked No | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +352%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 111.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…6700backed Yes | 18c | 111.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes | 37c | 100.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfd…222abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…709ebacked Yes | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 86.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 22c | 72.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 79c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…4c6fbacked Yes | 18c | 66.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 60.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…ca6cbacked Yes | 71c | 59.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…4b2ebacked No | 29c | 51.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…7651backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…07e4backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 38c | 49.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 51c | 43.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…dd0fbacked Yes | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…004fbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0948…61a4backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.