Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f65210eb9a57e5823f063d2f4e5df08bb0b1c36556b0abb5de08ae32409be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 79c | 15,785$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 21c | 7,536$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.62 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 20c | 6,685$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.95 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 23c | 1,005$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed Under | 75c | 675$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 21c | 446$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 24c | 397.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 21c | 237.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 26c | 189.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 75c | 188$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 76c | 155$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 77c | 136$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 127.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 18c | 123.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 78c | 61.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Under | 68c | 37.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 77c | 20.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 70c | 19.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.