AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad29cf2f3839f6090c3ba8a0b6753d3af77ecced5c24ab10348ecc64067c04a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,700,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,879,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,700,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed No | 2c | 41,697$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.95 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 3c | 36,805$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.21 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed No | 9c | 28,091$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 22,279$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.77 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 7c | 19,180$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.34 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…6007backed No | 1c | 18,277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 4c | 17,619$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.67 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 16,936$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.84 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 3c | 15,216$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.45 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked No | 7c | 15,031$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 13,908$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.82 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…1959backed No | 8c | 12,203$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 12,110$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.69 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 11,780$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.84 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 6c | 11,351$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.76 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 7c | 9,836$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.79 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 5c | 9,615$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.85 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 5c | 9,370$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.46 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d54…4cddbacked No | 11c | 8,936$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…c472backed No | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc76…0ad0backed No | 5c | 7,464$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 7c | 6,840$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.83 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 3c | 6,593$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 2c | 5,783$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 8c | 5,397$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.7 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked No | 5c | 5,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 8c | 4,968$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.31 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 3c | 4,292$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 7c | 3,884$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.74 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 4c | 3,695$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…e49bbacked No | 4c | 3,663$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…87b5backed No | 7c | 3,520$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 1c | 3,373$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 1c | 3,154$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…94c0backed No | 5c | 3,064$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked No | 14c | 2,952$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.91 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 2,700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 7c | 2,580$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 3c | 2,539$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 2,392$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…408dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,271$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…69d8backed No | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed No | 6c | 2,104$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…709dbacked No | 5c | 2,089$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…d697backed No | 8c | 2,080$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…5b3cbacked No | 1c | 2,054$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 5c | 2,029$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…c148backed No | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 10c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 5c | 1,955$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 74c | 1,919$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.82 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked No | 1c | 1,872$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed No | 7c | 1,771$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…b385backed No | 3c | 1,708$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…5d03backed No | 3c | 1,686$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b9…9acebacked No | 6c | 1,681$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…6a73backed No | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked No | 8c | 1,644$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc1…e8e4backed No | 12c | 1,614$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…f5dcbacked No | 2c | 1,520$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…2404backed No | 2c | 1,437$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 1c | 1,360$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…3700backed No | 6c | 1,293$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…7a08backed No | 1c | 1,193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed No | 6c | 1,142$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…06d9backed No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 9c | 1,050$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 8c | 1,041$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…9f18backed No | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 7c | 999.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 6c | 914.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 3c | 913$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 909.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 897.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…4bffbacked No | 2c | 873.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 6c | 783.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 757.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…cc18backed No | 1c | 717.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…4a48backed No | 4c | 689.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…c67cbacked No | 3c | 649.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…72fabacked No | 3c | 640.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…1032backed Yes | 79c | 636.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…894dbacked No | 7c | 626$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…04e8backed No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…401abacked No | 5c | 619.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6f93backed No | 2c | 606.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…eb54backed No | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…61d9backed No | 8c | 587.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754c…ce51backed No | 3c | 586.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…4bb1backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c8…e1a2backed No | 3c | 555.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…3d81backed No | 8c | 551.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…9614backed No | 9c | 544.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…0476backed No | 5c | 500.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…8c3dbacked No | 10c | 500.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…7014backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.