CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ChickenBurger vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce64db111fba41de79e429c1da96c307d66fac8ee315dbc9928a31d6e52bca54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ChickenBurgerof ChickenBurger, Eternal Fire Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eternal Fire Academy | 17c | 2,966$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…110cbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 43c | 1,393$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…ae77backed Eternal Fire Academy | 39c | 1,060$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…897dbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 39c | 1,040$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…0996backed Eternal Fire Academy | 43c | 1,014$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…c3c1backed Eternal Fire Academy | 44c | 881$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…771dbacked ChickenBurger | 57c | 832$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…be57backed Eternal Fire Academy | 39c | 804$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…d1d0backed Eternal Fire Academy | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…8e63backed Eternal Fire Academy | 39c | 647$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0143backed ChickenBurger | 61c | 590$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…aeb5backed ChickenBurger | 57c | 588$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…27b7backed ChickenBurger | 61c | 580$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 14c | 573.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…9b3fbacked ChickenBurger | 61c | 563$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…98cabacked ChickenBurger | 57c | 561$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…8420backed Eternal Fire Academy | 36c | 530$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…35f8backed ChickenBurger | 61c | 504$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…4657backed ChickenBurger | 61c | 497$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…cedcbacked ChickenBurger | 56c | 494$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…a03abacked Eternal Fire Academy | 36c | 470$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…63c5backed ChickenBurger | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…0347backed ChickenBurger | 61c | 431$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…177bbacked ChickenBurger | 57c | 426$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…cb4abacked ChickenBurger | 58c | 374.41$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 351.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…966dbacked ChickenBurger | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…162abacked ChickenBurger | 64c | 290$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…bcc7backed ChickenBurger | 64c | 290$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…982fbacked ChickenBurger | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…694dbacked ChickenBurger | 61c | 216$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Eternal Fire Academy | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…ebffbacked ChickenBurger | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…2ec6backed ChickenBurger | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 17c | 105.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…1c44backed ChickenBurger | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…92a9backed Eternal Fire Academy | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked ChickenBurger | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 35c | 95.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed ChickenBurger | 76c | 92.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 92.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Eternal Fire Academy | 23c | 89.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Eternal Fire Academy | 17c | 66.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…eb1dbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 22c | 62.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…84c0backed ChickenBurger | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…eb77backed Eternal Fire Academy | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire Academy | 22c | 58.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 53.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…13fbbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ChickenBurger vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: ChickenBurger vs Eternal Fire Academy - Map 1 WinnerChickenBurger won
- Counter-Strike: ChickenBurger vs Eternal Fire Academy - Map 2 WinnerChickenBurger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.