TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No38c5,229$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.871811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked No69c4,712$3,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.431275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No24c3,218$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.0120665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c3,125$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.055,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes35c2,880$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.422,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c2,085$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3128,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes80c1,787$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36614570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c1,581$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.871,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No11c1,258$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c1,223$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.613,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed No10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Yes56c1,137$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes55c1,094$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.443,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed No10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No67c919.84$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2922457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c811.22$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.591,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes20c750$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes29c717$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0742250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c647.02$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.061,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No3c543.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes36c462.78$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.071,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked No20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed No20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No11c428.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6920138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed No10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+319.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No42c392.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8812827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No34c381.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6421640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No19c347.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No21c347.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7721132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No35c337.55$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9918631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ad…795fbacked No12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+125%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No17c295.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.01185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c287.03$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.361,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda7…7b78backed No7c265.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes62c242.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.858569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No6c224.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+426.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes30c221.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed No69c203.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.191485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes80c195$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.331154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes61c186.08$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5725866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Yes72c173.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked Yes17c170.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.411526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No40c169.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Yes62c167.86$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.962572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes35c162.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.43636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes62c160.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…a77ebacked Yes62c157.9$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No8c149.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6415247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed Yes17c131.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.592025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.226749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.641952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes62c112.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.993145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No36c111.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No47c100.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0175…7da9backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.55754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes57c89.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes64c87.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No18c79.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2110249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No65c79.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.821,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked No27c76.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No30c74.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.376864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Yes70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes74c67.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.762882.1%23 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d91…6816backed Yes22c62.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.612133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccd…017cbacked Yes48c62.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c61.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.192,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked No67c59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.371526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No54c50.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No68c48.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No25c48.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.358252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No33c47.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7937540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes43c46.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.775455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Yes35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.864235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes31c42.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3312948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Yes35c42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.311864.4%76 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No47c39.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5726965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes52c37.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes69c31.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8810767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08f…d167backed Yes63c31.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f0backed Yes48c31.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.022860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes33c30.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5916653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes35c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed No45c29.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.361631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked No37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No78c28.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.571,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No74c28.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.129362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7815768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No75c21.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0119264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes53c21.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.994075%30 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+60.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x03a3…1795backed Yes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.