TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c6,250$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.75,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No77c1,215$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.416864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes19c1,123$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.411,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c1,119$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.588,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No71c1,042$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.577959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No21c713.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.053828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes29c665.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8612754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes70c620.03$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.9530048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab77…be6abacked Yes26c596.15$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes7c592.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6520138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c449.76$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.932,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No32c411.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2626745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes29c404.35$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4921844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No52c404.13$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6821640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No50c374.7$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No39c336.49$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1521132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Yes68c303$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.341752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7212827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda7…7b78backed Yes4c260.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6250%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes66c253.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes25c238.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No72c231$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes43c227$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.869763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes28c217.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.071,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Yes73c204.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes18c183$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked No21c169.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.871526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes30c167.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes28c159.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6219846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0374…10e8backed Yes7c153.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+134.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c137.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.031,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes62c113.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes42c112.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0175…7da9backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebe…0720backed No20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.25425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes29c97.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.383571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c94.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.581,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No21c92.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.522025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Yes68c91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.882972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes28c89.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c83.25$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes69c76.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Yes77c68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.092347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No30c66.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No27c66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.946315.9%10 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No45c64.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked Yes25c58.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes70c58.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.816946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Yes24c56.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c50.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c50.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes79c50.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.513836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No75c46.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5925866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…86cabacked Yes68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c40.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.091,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7993…cc43backed No75c38.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.232025%5 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.068252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed Yes68c29.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c28.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0467548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No71c27.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.855972.9%43 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes45c26.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes65c26.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.916864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes67c25.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.893265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67ed…687ebacked Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes68c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No50c24.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes57c24.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9710249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No75c22.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.581,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No76c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5611864.4%76 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked No69c17.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.619100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No72c17.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.942462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes61c17.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed No76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.844484.1%37 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No70c14.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4729053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.