Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc428ea48b43fe7cf306ed97a805a2ad593642eb79c374063f94e4a73e40a308a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Shopify Rebellion Goldof FlyQuest RED, Shopify Rebellion Gold
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,486 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca8e…ce7dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold	79c	8,714$6,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,805.85	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcadf…1f60backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	76c	8,279$6,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016.81	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed FlyQuest RED	22c	6,034$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.39	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold	80c	5,688$4,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,144.19	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-41%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FlyQuest RED	20c	3,598$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.69	417	34.8%145 W · 272 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f26cbacked FlyQuest RED	20c	3,273$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	73c	2,548$1,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.79	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+21%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed FlyQuest RED	24c	1,624$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.95	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed FlyQuest RED	29c	1,376$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed FlyQuest RED	29c	1,349$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.18	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked FlyQuest RED	2c	1,155$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.24	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384d…d922backed FlyQuest RED	18c	1,001$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	79c	920.57$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.01	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked FlyQuest RED	21c	895$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.95	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked FlyQuest RED	25c	733.33$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.33	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	31cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked FlyQuest RED	26c	728.62$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked FlyQuest RED	28c	596.43$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked FlyQuest RED	20c	582.12$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.42	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FlyQuest RED	22c	525.11$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.87	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed FlyQuest RED	18c	522.54$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.73	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed FlyQuest RED	17c	511.99$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.04	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-6.0wins	-0.35per pick	47cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed FlyQuest RED	18c	506.63$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.7	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed FlyQuest RED	10c	501.46$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	322	45.7%147 W · 175 L	+52.2wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked FlyQuest RED	17c	494$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.98	102	37.3%38 W · 64 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked FlyQuest RED	17c	444.29$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.32per pick	38cpaid	+79.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa612…5cc9backed FlyQuest RED	23c	400.17$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed FlyQuest RED	44c	366.86$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.62	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed FlyQuest RED	11c	358.68$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.14	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked FlyQuest RED	19c	342.39$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked FlyQuest RED	28c	333.49$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.38	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold	80c	331.36$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.49	66	68.2%45 W · 21 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked FlyQuest RED	24c	316.73$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed FlyQuest RED	28c	316.07$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.5	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed FlyQuest RED	28c	292.86$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed FlyQuest RED	21c	280.95$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed FlyQuest RED	29c	279.31$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	78c	253.92$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.86	271	45%122 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed FlyQuest RED	15c	250.63$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	85	38.8%33 W · 52 L	-11.2wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed FlyQuest RED	27c	239.6$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.5	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed FlyQuest RED	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed FlyQuest RED	22c	204.55$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cad…48b5backed FlyQuest RED	22c	177.32$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	77c	174.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.55	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked FlyQuest RED	22c	166.68$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.93	152	32.9%50 W · 102 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed FlyQuest RED	20c	160$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+11.5wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed FlyQuest RED	23c	155$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdfc…22b8backed FlyQuest RED	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed FlyQuest RED	18c	141.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked FlyQuest RED	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	79c	130$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.3	106	64.2%68 W · 38 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+16%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ae8…7025backed FlyQuest RED	20c	127.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.49	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	29cpaid	+82.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed FlyQuest RED	65c	106$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.43	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	131	58%76 W · 55 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fab…f47bbacked FlyQuest RED	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7322…9f57backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	80c	95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold	72c	90.28$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.28	109	75.2%82 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x560e…158ebacked FlyQuest RED	23c	90.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked FlyQuest RED	17c	88.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed FlyQuest RED	15c	88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed FlyQuest RED	28c	85.71$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…6586backed FlyQuest RED	29c	85.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	76c	84.43$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.68	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59fc…5054backed FlyQuest RED	23c	78.19$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked FlyQuest RED	16c	76.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed FlyQuest RED	21c	76.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked FlyQuest RED	22c	54.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed FlyQuest RED	23c	54.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1755…b972backed FlyQuest RED	20c	51.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed FlyQuest RED	29c	48.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed FlyQuest RED	35c	31.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	78c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f0…05bebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Shopify Rebellion Gold	73c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.36	345	71%245 W · 100 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	79c	19.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1b…4ea6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	78c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	78c	19.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56d5…2c23backed Shopify Rebellion Gold	73c	14.04$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.76	113	67.3%76 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsthis page
Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+1.5)FlyQuest RED won
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Gold won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event