La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfefce2fd6bb5afe1861a72e11818f4bba3a3b4c1e8f50ffd833aa46cc978bd48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 36c | 7,029$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.49 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Under | 75c | 6,627$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 27c | 5,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 5,395$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.25 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 4,090$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.59 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 9c | 4,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 28c | 3,892$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.38 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 71c | 3,377$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 72c | 3,195$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.68 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Under | 72c | 1,445$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 1,334$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.26 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 1,211$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.64 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 38c | 959$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.68 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 72c | 900$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 676.57$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.89 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 57c | 548.27$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.78 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Under | 74c | 540.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Under | 16c | 527.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 24c | 520.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.58 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 494.14$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 485.01$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.69 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 79c | 421.52$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 353.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 36c | 320.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 27c | 319.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 56c | 313$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 311.56$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa10…8ee9backed Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 25c | 238.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 29c | 230.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 65c | 220.14$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 30c | 183.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 33c | 175$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 72c | 173.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 163.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 27c | 142$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 29c | 133.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 74c | 131.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 25c | 130$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 70c | 109.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 10c | 104.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 79c | 100.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 25c | 66.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 72c | 56.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 54.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…b67cbacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 63c | 52.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Over | 24c | 48.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 27c | 47.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 72c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Under | 75c | 41.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 72c | 40.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 36.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 53c | 33.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 77c | 25.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Under | 43c | 25.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 73c | 17.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…bc09backed Under | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 67c | 14.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.