La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9961efc6857251632b30b3e7c4339c16ce89b7226e2140802d607f16c379414a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 46c | 9,532$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 9,127$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.06 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 53c | 6,843$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 46c | 5,424$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.75 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 5,258$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.54 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 5,210$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.33 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 4,058$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.39 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 3,965$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.24 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 3,746$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.99 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 42c | 3,530$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.27 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 46c | 3,252$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 3,207$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.54 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 3,045$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.49 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 54c | 2,977$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.1 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 2,911$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.58 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 2,380$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 2,264$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.09 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 2,172$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.53 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Under | 52c | 1,865$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 43c | 1,770$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 68c | 1,462$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.28 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 3c | 1,271$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 54c | 1,015$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.02 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 945.19$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.74 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 911$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.9 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…6eb4backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 32c | 782.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 695.06$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.78 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…5863backed Under | 56c | 423.14$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 37c | 381.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 375$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 355.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 52c | 349.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…00e4backed Under | 52c | 335.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 324.1$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…d868backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 65c | 306.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 54c | 300.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 47c | 291.44$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 55c | 286.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Under | 10c | 271.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 48c | 251.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 58c | 249$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 57c | 229.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Under | 44c | 221.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 213$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 206.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 194.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 53c | 180$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Under | 56c | 179.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 52c | 144.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Under | 55c | 136.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 45c | 122.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 29c | 118.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 100.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 63.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…968cbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71b…2631backed Under | 62c | 59.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 56.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 30c | 56.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 42c | 52.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 49.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 49.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 49.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 54c | 45.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 42.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 448 | 40.4%181 W · 267 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Over | 49c | 35.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 46c | 33.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 194 | 46.9%91 W · 103 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 40c | 33.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 52c | 30.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.