La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9cc86c969ef516c4e3e9e4259a8832f6dbfb01b760441f0b09dc4901d36e4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 34c | 14,771$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 7,965$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.32 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 10c | 7,730$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 67c | 3,932$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.74 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 67c | 3,450$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 3,198$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.05 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 66c | 3,041$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.62 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 34c | 1,658$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.9 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 54c | 1,001$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +18.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Under | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…2027backed Under | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…b45cbacked Under | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Under | 34c | 999.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Under | 34c | 999.92$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…715dbacked Under | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 49c | 775.51$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 31c | 737.87$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.74 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 31c | 526.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 66c | 520$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 518.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…71e1backed Under | 33c | 487.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 64c | 475.78$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 66c | 416.31$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 65c | 384.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 33c | 372.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 67c | 352.62$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 65c | 351$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 5c | 346.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 280.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 70c | 271.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 70c | 271.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 67c | 260.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 66c | 255.91$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 66c | 246$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 68c | 241.92$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 230.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 64c | 226.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 31c | 217.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 62c | 216.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Over | 76c | 187.32$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 66c | 186.67$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 30c | 175.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…3af7backed Over | 70c | 162.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 35c | 161.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 66c | 154.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 33c | 139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 75c | 132.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 67c | 127.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 34c | 120.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 194 | 46.9%91 W · 103 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 114.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 32c | 104.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 44c | 89.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 68c | 71.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c4…2853backed Under | 36c | 69.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 36c | 61.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…3323backed Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 68c | 50.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 30c | 49.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Over | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…c808backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…a218backed Over | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 67c | 38.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 38c | 30.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 69c | 30.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 71c | 29.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 28.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 448 | 40.4%181 W · 267 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 68c | 26.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 69c | 26.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Over | 68c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 60c | 25.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.