La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ed2496f2c58faabb1e75eca4ca891fff6059c4a22806d56eabe8313ba4eb11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villarreal CFof Villarreal CF, Club Atlético de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Villarreal CF | 25c | 3,075$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.73 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Villarreal CF | 62c | 1,371$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Villarreal CF | 65c | 1,095$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.04 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 72c | 817.39$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.18 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 706.35$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.33 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 55c | 685.17$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Villarreal CF | 19c | 650.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.1 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 279$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.69 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Villarreal CF | 25c | 260.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Villarreal CF | 53c | 254.59$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Villarreal CF | 46c | 239.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Villarreal CF | 45c | 222.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Villarreal CF | 45c | 221.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Villarreal CF | 42c | 180.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Villarreal CF | 19c | 162.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 39c | 151$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Villarreal CF | 49c | 137.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4749…321dbacked Villarreal CF | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Villarreal CF | 26c | 95.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 54c | 81.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Villarreal CF | 27c | 79.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Villarreal CF | 19c | 64.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 61.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Villarreal CF | 63c | 53.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Villarreal CF | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Villarreal CF | 44c | 45.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…bf93backed Villarreal CF | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 39cpaid | +216.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Villarreal CF | 58c | 25.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Villarreal CF | 45c | 25.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 56c | 25.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Villarreal CF | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Villarreal CF | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Villarreal CF | 73c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.