La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6dad7de4b829cc8d1af407026ed1f8cf4c944422264b6422cfaff94f8c54d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 5,950$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.66 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 26c | 5,915$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.07 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 78c | 3,833$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.85 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 3,304$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.09 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 14c | 3,194$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 2,691$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.04 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 9c | 1,839$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,694$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 23c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Under | 80c | 772.24$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 62c | 750.43$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 600.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 525.16$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 35c | 428$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 43c | 278.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 16c | 227.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 16c | 219.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 215.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 209.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 67c | 142.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 43c | 116.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 13c | 89.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Under | 35c | 85.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 14c | 81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Under | 35c | 63.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 35c | 52.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Under | 35c | 42.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.