La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6b9519c0d405dbd62e226b1379a5925a6ebd2b550c9f26c67c485d0d87c849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villarreal CFof Villarreal CF, Club Atlético de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Villarreal CF | 30c | 5,347$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.9 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Villarreal CF | 48c | 2,218$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Villarreal CF | 8c | 2,112$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.03 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 2,083$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 64c | 1,677$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.16 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 1,113$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.52 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Villarreal CF | 8c | 1,010$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.08 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Villarreal CF | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Villarreal CF | 8c | 839.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Villarreal CF | 58c | 813.53$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.89 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 795.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Villarreal CF | 11c | 531.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.15 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 36c | 261.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Villarreal CF | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Villarreal CF | 65c | 189.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Villarreal CF | 75c | 159.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Villarreal CF | 9c | 121.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 47c | 115.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 40c | 105.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Villarreal CF | 61c | 95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Villarreal CF | 66c | 87.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Villarreal CF | 48c | 79.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…2cacbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 43c | 68.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Villarreal CF | 64c | 62.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…f16cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Villarreal CF | 65c | 50.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 43c | 44.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 47c | 42.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 52c | 37.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Villarreal CF | 52c | 33.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Villarreal CF | 48c | 32.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Villarreal CF | 50c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Villarreal CF | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.