TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No54c6,716$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.468,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes78c3,835$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No41c3,806$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.292,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No54c3,643$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.164858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0529…c9dabacked Yes46c3,300$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No65c1,938$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.721,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes38c1,872$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.77852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22dc…beb3backed Yes41c1,701$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No36c1,654$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.447540%30 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c1,528$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.0324855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes45c1,524$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68613257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff52…ca42backed Yes16c1,439$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes32c1,257$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No57c1,244$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.816558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No57c1,184$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0912757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes45c1,125$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No56c1,111$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.9916647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0126…4fd0backed Yes44c1,105$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c0…8f39backed Yes41c996.54$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes43c983$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6914540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e9e…e6b8backed Yes43c960.8$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c911.52$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.11,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No55c909.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0827349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf030…4b59backed Yes49c892.29$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c1…021cbacked Yes46c797.83$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes31c738.08$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.69333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes69c727.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes32c718.75$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No57c706$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.221,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c682.5$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.131,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c681.38$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.371,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No55c636.35$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3627549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c628.18$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.141,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No55c616.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x932d…0d85backed Yes44c611.48$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a35…4835backed Yes35c565.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+400%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13551654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes33c478.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9919953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Yes43c468.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Yes45c439.49$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.771838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c436.07$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.931,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed No36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.672378.3%18 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+93%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No36c390.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.233372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes44c348.16$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.199547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c345.27$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.091,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x726e…c167backed Yes37c300$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa507…42b1backed Yes43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No57c270$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.13652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed No66c269.24$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes12c243.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.327745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes42c240.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes33c238.85$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0918338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Yes43c236.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No54c235.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8426745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaee…9c5fbacked No52c235.47$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.87742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c230.87$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.521,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No56c228$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.323836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc06e…5796backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No29c216.21$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2130231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9451…c12fbacked Yes48c208.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8615560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes32c197.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+1,150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c96…5099backed Yes44c189.59$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No55c181.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8633266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes19c180.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.864037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes40c173.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes48c171$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…b695backed Yes37c165.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.091580%12 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6600…1b35backed Yes44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes32c154.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c152.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.162,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes48c150.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.411,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No38c147.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes45c145.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd0cb…1298backed No22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.364100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+144%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes43c131.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6310767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1615768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x605d…2415backed Yes35c129.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes47c128.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No50c121.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.533560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…cec1backed Yes17c120.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes68c117.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes42c114.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0318359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc727…2c76backed Yes44c110.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c108$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.892,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c107.17$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.341654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes38c104.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-80.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fef…ee82backed Yes51c100.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0268…6944backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d0…aafebacked Yes33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Yes31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.