South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8b72a53601ea267c7b557d79c37af51ade885b5701477704f401c63638c050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 4,431$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.13 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 55c | 3,076$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…ca42backed Yes | 19c | 1,491$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 23c | 722.01$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 547.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed Yes | 21c | 465.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…4835backed Yes | 11c | 462.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +400%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 56c | 311.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 33c | 165$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 160.41$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 34c | 147.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 47c | 129.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 127.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 39c | 116.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 66c | 106.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…7281backed Yes | 26c | 102.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 55c | 101.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…c167backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 97.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 97.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed Yes | 41c | 95.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Yes | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 89.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 78.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 17c | 77.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 67.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 68c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…0f3ebacked Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 34c | 53.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 44c | 49.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 35.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…0f2dbacked Yes | 51c | 32.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +108%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 77c | 25.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 56c | 24.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed No | 65c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.