South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78150d9c06ff1287eccb9fd91e9ce0441ff49727e359ce71eaa2b00d5da85e12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 3,762$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 2,892$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.89 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Yes | 26c | 2,632$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 79c | 1,416$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.38 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 1,394$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.31 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 74c | 1,184$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.16 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 3c | 818.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.12 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 573$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.48 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 391.13$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.59 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 25c | 382.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 18c | 336.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 73c | 308.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes | 22c | 260$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…4835backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +400%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 43c | 239.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 221.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 216.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 76c | 205$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 139.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 76c | 129.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…c807backed Yes | 25c | 117.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +88%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…aafebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…c167backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…1b35backed Yes | 29c | 98.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 25c | 84.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 23c | 75.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 70c | 75.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaee…9c5fbacked Yes | 21c | 75.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 75.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…2569backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Yes | 22c | 63.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 22c | 56.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed No | 77c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 50.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 48.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Yes | 23c | 48.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…5c7abacked Yes | 25c | 46.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 27c | 40.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…1b0dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…febabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 77c | 39.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5f8ebacked No | 79c | 36.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed No | 77c | 20.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 76c | 15.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 76c | 14.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.