NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa981819b8e94c472dd1afd1bce5a7329d37088b7bd14d731c8e5b40a923595f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Broncos | 64c | 12,942$8,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.03 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Falcons | 8c | 10,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Falcons | 0c | 7,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Falcons | 1c | 7,596$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Broncos | 62c | 7,500$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Falcons | 36c | 7,073$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Falcons | 23c | 7,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Broncos | 64c | 6,107$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.01 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Falcons | 36c | 5,231$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.13 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Falcons | 35c | 4,566$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.78 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Broncos | 72c | 4,549$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.3 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Broncos | 62c | 3,213$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Falcons | 25c | 2,913$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.56 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Falcons | 37c | 2,589$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.97 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Falcons | 40c | 2,582$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.69 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Falcons | 33c | 2,434$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.16 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Broncos | 65c | 1,829$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Broncos | 63c | 1,672$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Falcons | 28c | 1,321$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Falcons | 27c | 1,300$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Falcons | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Broncos | 70c | 1,176$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Broncos | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Falcons | 36c | 790.37$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Broncos | 61c | 769.15$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Broncos | 63c | 736.95$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.46 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Broncos | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Broncos | 64c | 642.56$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Broncos | 67c | 623.45$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Broncos | 71c | 562.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Falcons | 40c | 524.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Falcons | 7c | 513$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Broncos | 65c | 505$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Falcons | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Broncos | 60c | 425$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Broncos | 66c | 403.59$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Falcons | 38c | 403.23$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…74c8backed Broncos | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…a0fdbacked Falcons | 37c | 399.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Broncos | 74c | 384.8$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Falcons | 38c | 364.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Falcons | 36c | 363.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Broncos | 65c | 337.89$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Broncos | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…4ef8backed Broncos | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Broncos | 63c | 299.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Falcons | 27c | 295.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Broncos | 70c | 266$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Falcons | 39c | 261.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Broncos | 60c | 256$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Falcons | 6c | 212.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…46c3backed Broncos | 64c | 202.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Falcons | 37c | 200.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…ddb7backed Falcons | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Broncos | 61c | 180.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Falcons | 38c | 179.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Broncos | 66c | 179.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Falcons | 31c | 157$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Broncos | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…d16fbacked Falcons | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Falcons | 37c | 142$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…6b8dbacked Falcons | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Falcons | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Falcons | 32c | 122.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Broncos | 65c | 122.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Broncos | 67c | 122.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Broncos | 61c | 119.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed Falcons | 37c | 103$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ff9fbacked Broncos | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0531…3770backed Falcons | 38c | 99.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Falcons | 37c | 99.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Broncos | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Broncos | 65c | 92.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Broncos | 61c | 82.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Broncos | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Broncos | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Broncos | 64c | 77.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Broncos | 65c | 77.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…1c6dbacked Broncos | 60c | 73.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…5c65backed Falcons | 34c | 65.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Falcons | 27c | 63.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Falcons | 35c | 61.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Broncos | 67c | 60.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Broncos | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…aeb0backed Falcons | 40c | 59.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…4890backed Falcons | 40c | 56.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Falcons | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Falcons | 40c | 51.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Broncos | 60c | 51.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Broncos | 68c | 50.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Broncos | 62c | 48.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Falcons | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Broncos | 64c | 46.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Falcons | 39c | 43.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Falcons | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…d2d8backed Falcons | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Broncos | 71c | 39.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…b530backed Falcons | 36c | 35.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Broncos | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…3a7ebacked Broncos | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Falconsthis page
- Broncos vs. Falcons: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- DEN vs. ATL: O/U 36.5Under won
- DEN vs. ATL: O/U 37.5Under won
- DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5Under won
- DEN vs. ATL: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: DEN (-3.5)DEN won
- Spread: DEN (-4.5)DEN won
- Spread: DEN (-5.5)DEN won
- Spread: DEN (-6.5)DEN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.