Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90aec4a2e25b64af5b8837d0bdb40b00cad6869ff721ef22de89b4061a9f80a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Surrey, Middlesex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed Surrey | 79c | 5,445$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.16 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Surrey | 74c | 4,847$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Middlesex | 27c | 3,898$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.53 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Middlesex | 30c | 1,824$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Middlesex | 23c | 1,740$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3664…62c4backed Middlesex | 6c | 1,653$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Middlesex | 19c | 1,612$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Surrey | 71c | 1,539$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.31 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed Middlesex | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Middlesex | 10c | 1,296$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Surrey | 77c | 1,050$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Surrey | 73c | 926.76$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Middlesex | 22c | 900$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Surrey | 73c | 877.89$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.53 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Surrey | 71c | 549$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Middlesex | 42c | 532.9$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.84 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed Middlesex | 3c | 506.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Surrey | 78c | 477$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…b563backed Middlesex | 31c | 430$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Surrey | 70c | 412.28$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Surrey | 77c | 316.01$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Middlesex | 23c | 288.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Surrey | 70c | 285.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Surrey | 70c | 285.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Surrey | 57c | 245.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Surrey | 71c | 220.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Middlesex | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Middlesex | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…03dcbacked Middlesex | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…a6edbacked Middlesex | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…23a3backed Middlesex | 22c | 161.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Surrey | 64c | 156.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Middlesex | 30c | 146.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Surrey | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Middlesex | 18c | 126.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Surrey | 72c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Middlesex | 25c | 113.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Middlesex | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Surrey | 73c | 100.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Middlesex | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Middlesex | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Middlesex | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Middlesex | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Surrey | 75c | 95.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Middlesex | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Middlesex | 26c | 88.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Surrey | 78c | 78.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Middlesex | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…6fedbacked Middlesex | 31c | 72.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Middlesex | 29c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Surrey | 76c | 63.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Middlesex | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Middlesex | 30c | 54.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Surrey | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…f5d4backed Surrey | 71c | 43.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b4…3840backed Middlesex | 28c | 39.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Middlesex | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Surrey | 55c | 35.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Surrey | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Surrey | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Surrey | 69c | 27.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesexthis page
- T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex - Who wins the toss?Surrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.