Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c6bb464e160b925a9f49be22c4cc054f6dbd1e221ba2c1104a21533c21d350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monfilsof Tien, Monfils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Monfils | 53c | 5,189$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.9 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Tien | 46c | 4,123$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.81 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tien | 49c | 4,090$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Monfils | 51c | 1,627$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.99 | 780 | 52.7%411 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Monfils | 51c | 1,376$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Tien | 49c | 801.91$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.92 | 290 | 45.9%133 W · 157 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…e0b4backed Tien | 48c | 510.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Tien | 46c | 425.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Tien | 50c | 404$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 481 | 51.6%248 W · 233 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Monfils | 53c | 387.71$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Tien | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Monfils | 51c | 334.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79b…b9eebacked Monfils | 51c | 304.06$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Monfils | 51c | 245.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Tien | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Tien | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Monfils | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Monfils | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Monfils | 53c | 171.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Tien | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Monfils | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 277 | 54.5%151 W · 126 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Monfils | 54c | 121.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Monfils | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Tien | 47c | 104.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Monfils | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Monfils | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Monfils | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Monfils | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Monfils | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Tien | 51c | 87.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 288 | 48.3%139 W · 149 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…ba16backed Tien | 50c | 78.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Monfils | 51c | 76.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…c980backed Tien | 57c | 73.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 66 | 77.3%51 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Tien | 46c | 72.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,235 | 44.9%554 W · 681 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Monfils | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Monfils | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…66cdbacked Monfils | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Monfils | 49c | 43.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed Monfils | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Monfils | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Monfils | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…987ebacked Monfils | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…5fcfbacked Monfils | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a5…4572backed Tien | 51c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Tien | 50c | 36.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Monfils | 36c | 32.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…9badbacked Monfils | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Monfils | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Monfils | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…26adbacked Monfils | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Monfils | 51c | 25.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Monfils | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…fcb9backed Tien | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Monfils | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Monfils | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)this page
- National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael MonfilsLearner Tien won
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs MonfilsTien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.