WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x146760b8112e6b9a1585e89a10be37bfadd63e0052d10828c47551c3e231dedd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Phoenix Mercury, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 28,298$15,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765.61 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 15,617$7,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.52 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky | 41c | 15,392$6,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,373.24 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 6,470$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 6,278$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.09 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Chicago Sky | 41c | 6,199$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.79 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 5,861$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.12 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 5,738$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.97 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 5,669$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.62 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 5,528$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.05 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 4,971$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.77 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 4,450$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.48 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 4,200$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 3,685$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.68 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Sky | 42c | 3,638$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.24 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago Sky | 28c | 3,628$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.78 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 3,484$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.53 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 3,419$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.76 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 3,210$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.3 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 2,808$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.84 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 2,654$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.07 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 2,629$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.22 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.01 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 2,537$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.51 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 2,479$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.33 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Chicago Sky | 31c | 2,427$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 2,303$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.89 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.41 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Sky | 57c | 2,244$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.31 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Sky | 34c | 2,195$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.87 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 2,053$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 2,028$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 1,941$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 1,907$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.63 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 1,899$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 1,813$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 1,769$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.34 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 1,705$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.25 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 1,646$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.83 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…f3c5backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 1,645$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 1,500$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.75 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 1,480$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…421cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,390$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 1,286$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.16 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 1,161$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.19 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Sky | 22c | 1,160$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…e2a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 1,118$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 1,031$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.56 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 1,029$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.59 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 1,016$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.48 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chicago Sky | 29c | 937.84$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 934.12$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 856.61$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.04 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 854.15$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Chicago Sky | 35c | 850$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 842.85$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 713.85$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 683.6$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 659.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.23 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Chicago Sky | 40c | 647.37$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 636.9$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 611.25$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 74c | 590.84$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 579.75$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 570.41$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.92 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…8cf5backed Chicago Sky | 31c | 556.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 542.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 524$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 506.13$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 496.8$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…8b66backed Chicago Sky | 30c | 493.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 492.11$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Chicago Sky | 31c | 476.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 430.47$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 420$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Chicago Sky | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 398.47$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 365.28$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Chicago Sky | 37c | 362.05$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 356.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 354.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 334.87$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 332$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skythis page
- Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.