WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97365806fdc404d037497db771ae26e51bf870c2944716f960bbba41cfe44551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Under | 42c | 4,477$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 61c | 3,385$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.8 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 56c | 962.95$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.7 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Over | 61c | 819.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 33c | 357.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 244.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 56c | 216.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 58c | 195.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 57c | 118.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 144 | 45.1%65 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Under | 44c | 102.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 61c | 77.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 56c | 60.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 58c | 53.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 61c | 40.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 56c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5this page
- Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago SkyPhoenix Mercury won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.