WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65210ea5aacfcf0e14bed4f305a1ba69972f939661afbe6959f903a34affbbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Chicago Sky, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1681…5032backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 4,610$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.02 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 2,505$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.81 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 2,143$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.91 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 1,914$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.7 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 1,760$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.87 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky | 31c | 1,590$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.24 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 1,584$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.75 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Chicago Sky | 27c | 1,241$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.03 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 1,201$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 1,164$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 1,159$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 1,119$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.58 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 1,063$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.17 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 43c | 858.48$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 799.98$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.5 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago Sky | 32c | 747.21$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.77 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 709.88$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 683.02$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.48 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 634$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 577.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 546.1$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 411.11$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago Sky | 43c | 381.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 379.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 368.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 365.66$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 354$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 309.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 306.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 256$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 245.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 222.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Chicago Sky | 23c | 215.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 212.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 204.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 203.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 194.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…cfdabacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Chicago Sky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 169.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 145.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 128.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 122.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 119.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Chicago Sky | 39c | 117.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Chicago Sky | 29c | 114.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 99.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 95.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 95.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 93.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 87.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 84.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 81.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 76.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 74.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 69.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 67.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…9874backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Chicago Sky | 43c | 52.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 51.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 51.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Chicago Sky | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 47.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 47.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 47.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 44.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 38.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Chicago Sky | 36c | 36.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…9548backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 30.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…324ebacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 29.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 25.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 25.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)this page
- Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago SkyPhoenix Mercury won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.