WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b59f2feea17b931357fbfdfa91ac50bc46b2920200be59508b6dc4488c73d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 30,084$14,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,741.11 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…1975backed Over | 51c | 4,507$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Over | 54c | 4,182$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 53c | 3,484$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.49 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 49c | 3,242$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.97 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 51c | 2,742$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 52c | 2,220$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 56c | 2,058$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.66 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 1,867$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.83 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 50c | 1,257$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 48c | 892.65$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.47 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Over | 52c | 841.75$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 51c | 841.42$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.51 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 742.39$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Over | 50c | 656.92$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 600$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 597.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 47c | 522.43$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 26c | 505.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 452$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.93 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 50c | 441.1$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 49c | 436.43$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 47c | 354$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 50c | 312.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Over | 50c | 251.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 234.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 24c | 207.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Under | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 54c | 184.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…cdcfbacked Under | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…06dcbacked Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…900fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 29c | 94.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 91.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Under | 36c | 79.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 63c | 79.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 78.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 63.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 60.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 38c | 54.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…ca75backed Over | 52c | 38.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 37.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…6dccbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…587ebacked Under | 47c | 30.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…324ebacked Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 50c | 27.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 52c | 26.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 23.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…ca86backed Under | 44c | 22.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a7…5ebdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5this page
- Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago SkyPhoenix Mercury won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.