TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c30,084$14,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,741.1178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,70010749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab1…1975backed Over51c4,507$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.461330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf08…907ebacked Over54c4,182$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.31963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over53c3,484$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.4910463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Under49c3,242$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.977159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under51c2,742$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003627.8%10 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over52c2,220$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.65752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over56c2,058$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.669042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.045945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c1,867$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.8328647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c1,500$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7303342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7358348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over50c1,257$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.472548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.215746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47011457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9910548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under48c892.65$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.479140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f9…c9a7backed Over52c841.75$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over51c841.42$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.513354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c742.39$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3874942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Over54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.745850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under48c666.67$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32013742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeae2…d963backed Over50c656.92$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c600$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3416450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c597.4$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.671,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under47c522.43$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.547138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under26c505.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1150952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.623053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2456544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c452$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over50c441.1$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3314345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under49c436.43$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8514353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under47c354$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3813147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under50c312.68$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.346154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over50c251.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.629336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c234.09$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.71,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under24c207.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.248836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Under50c200.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.041145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1912846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Over54c184.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x552e…cdcfbacked Under50c177$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Under47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Under34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb417…06dcbacked Over69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Over51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4727049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe72…900fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under50c99.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under29c94.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.548640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over54c91.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1823746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc91…fcabbacked Under36c79.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over63c79.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0913348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c78.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4471245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.436350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under48c63.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5626054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over52c60.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.077147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2738650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x658b…ad0fbacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under38c54.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3310853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56861.8%42 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Under28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Over63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6415451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under30c43.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Over50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58057.5%46 W · 34 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3945…ca75backed Over52c38.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c38.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0464152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under47c37.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5132750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebe…6dccbacked Over50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe49f…587ebacked Under47c30.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8683…56c7backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f1…324ebacked Under48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over50c27.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.615844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Over52c26.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.525168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under49c23.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2317343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d3…ca86backed Under44c22.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8183748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.526953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a7…5ebdbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.