Tennis · resolved market
Lexington: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Sebastian Gorzny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34cefce926302d08c7ae5360c42d4fbd8fb8b179a09029aebf8cbbe638e8ec39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Gorznyof Yu-Hsiou Hsu, Sebastian Gorzny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 67c | 12,358$8,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,239.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sebastian Gorzny | 27c | 8,315$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,071.93 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Sebastian Gorzny | 34c | 5,104$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.26 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 69c | 1,911$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.31 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 67c | 1,748$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 1,672$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 6c | 668.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 3c | 609.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 3c | 555.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Sebastian Gorzny | 76c | 532$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Gorzny | 38c | 448.52$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.08 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Sebastian Gorzny | 34c | 441.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.44 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sebastian Gorzny | 41c | 243.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Sebastian Gorzny | 31c | 240$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Gorzny | 51c | 205.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Sebastian Gorzny | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Sebastian Gorzny | 31c | 168.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 50c | 162$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sebastian Gorzny | 73c | 157.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 39c | 154.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sebastian Gorzny | 30c | 147.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf12…7e2cbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 9c | 143.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sebastian Gorzny | 31c | 143$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 36c | 141.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 68c | 128.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sebastian Gorzny | 32c | 122.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Sebastian Gorzny | 26c | 120.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…8cd9backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 38c | 110.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Sebastian Gorzny | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 105$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f871backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 72c | 102.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Sebastian Gorzny | 72c | 102.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 34c | 96.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 44c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Sebastian Gorzny | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…739fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 77c | 79.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Sebastian Gorzny | 39c | 72.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…91f4backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 28c | 70.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 53c | 67.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 72c | 66.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Sebastian Gorzny | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 67c | 64.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 39c | 61.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 36c | 57.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Sebastian Gorzny | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 70c | 49.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 68c | 46.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sebastian Gorzny | 30c | 46.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 40c | 45.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 31c | 45.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 67c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sebastian Gorzny | 40c | 33.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Sebastian Gorzny | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Sebastian Gorzny | 67c | 30.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 69c | 25.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 61c | 22.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 67c | 22.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 68c | 21.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Sebastian Gorzny | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 69c | 17.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 72c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 62c | 16.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.