WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x880f14d4266a2b0e016d65bf2ba3d88b545b1151bf7a12f8b0ae49102644dc51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Over | 63c | 3,680$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 1,218$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.36 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 1,068$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.84 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 1,000$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.74 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 38c | 974.18$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 48c | 603.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 37c | 544.34$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over | 54c | 484.57$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 427.78$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 413$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.83 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 407.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 35c | 381.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.32 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 322$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 47c | 302.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 242.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Over | 54c | 240.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 48c | 167.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 36c | 164$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 36c | 151.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 101.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 84.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 61c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…5734backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 41c | 37.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed Over | 54c | 34.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…bf45backed Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 63c | 24.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 22.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 50c | 20.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.