WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928f5e46aab35927aacfc48bfc4610f12b82885e51a66798f8bfeb6f5055ea0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 36,257$18,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,128.98 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 10,718$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 4,012$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.58 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 3,450$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Under | 51c | 2,160$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 1,757$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.68 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 1,373$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.63 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 1,185$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.3 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 49c | 1,175$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.34 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 49c | 1,097$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.88 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 875$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 842.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 599.21$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.03 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Over | 53c | 524.9$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 51c | 493.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 51c | 344$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 324$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 318.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…ab71backed Under | 54c | 308.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 306.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 286.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.09 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 50c | 268.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 67c | 202.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 50c | 196.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 101.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Over | 57c | 97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 55c | 84.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 50c | 75.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 50c | 63.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 50.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 36.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 52c | 34.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 59c | 28.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 58c | 21.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.