WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb31c63859b257a206484b881de04e0534b4a776d1965ba8fb4c5ad9aa27ded62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 41,710$19,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,020.35 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 11,963$6,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,321.28 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 7,121$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.23 | 923 | 49.2%454 W · 469 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 53c | 3,909$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.79 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 2,645$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.32 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,513$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.3 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 2,209$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 53c | 1,862$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.26 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Under | 49c | 1,028$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.03 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 997.5$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 863.31$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e85dbacked Over | 53c | 739.53$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 579.03$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.23 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 48c | 468.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.52 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 445.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 46c | 395.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.83 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 388.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 374.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 458 | 15.7%72 W · 386 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 50c | 290.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 289$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 286.34$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 239$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 858 | 58.3%500 W · 358 L | +69.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 232.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 48c | 206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 255 | 45.9%117 W · 138 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 171.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 725 | 45.2%328 W · 397 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 43c | 149.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 266 | 46.2%123 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 49c | 148$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 372 | 51.1%190 W · 182 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 108.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 101.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 87.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 47c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 48c | 58.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 44c | 40.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 54c | 31.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 43c | 28.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…d997backed Over | 53c | 28.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Over | 52c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 52c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.