WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2774f9b8de5aef8f0fb923003022c30fe85ef68e6c925baac62ae2f613f92293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 56c | 3,559$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 3,498$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.11 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 1,330$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 36c | 1,184$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.31 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 1,131$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 964.73$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.28 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 4c | 689.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 43c | 498.46$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.9 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 45c | 431.36$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 17c | 389$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…23b4backed Under | 45c | 367.09$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 63c | 331$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Under | 45c | 267.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 239.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 55c | 201.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 57c | 175.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 170.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…33b5backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 47.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…edb4backed Over | 53c | 26.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 45c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 56c | 26.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 20.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.