CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe759a8f2cf5e27c01549011d24222ef657902d05ab8f20b7949d484f759e9fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed M80 | 74c | 14,433$10,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,664.56 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked NIP | 26c | 9,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed M80 | 74c | 5,000$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.93 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed NIP | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.99 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked NIP | 26c | 2,750$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.36 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed M80 | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed M80 | 75c | 1,209$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.42 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked NIP | 26c | 1,062$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.57 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked NIP | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked M80 | 62c | 955.42$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.78 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NIP | 26c | 888$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.12 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed M80 | 75c | 857.76$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 27c | 666.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.66 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked NIP | 34c | 603.62$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.39 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed NIP | 27c | 600.64$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.47 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed NIP | 50c | 553.32$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.66 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 27c | 530.73$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed M80 | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed NIP | 26c | 441$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked NIP | 55c | 427.15$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked NIP | 27c | 364.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 54c | 359.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked M80 | 45c | 357.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed NIP | 26c | 355.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.19 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed M80 | 74c | 350$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed M80 | 73c | 270.07$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked M80 | 43c | 230.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…aeb6backed M80 | 74c | 206.76$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed M80 | 46c | 187.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed NIP | 28c | 187.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed NIP | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 27c | 177.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…85b1backed NIP | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed NIP | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed M80 | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked M80 | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked M80 | 47c | 129.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked NIP | 27c | 123.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed NIP | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked M80 | 74c | 110.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed NIP | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…b4b6backed M80 | 72c | 103.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed NIP | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed M80 | 75c | 87.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379c…84fabacked NIP | 28c | 87.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed NIP | 26c | 87.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed NIP | 26c | 85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked M80 | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed NIP | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed NIP | 25c | 75.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 50c | 74.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed NIP | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed NIP | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed NIP | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked NIP | 27c | 62.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…d58fbacked NIP | 29c | 51.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked M80 | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed M80 | 59c | 49.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked M80 | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…2ca2backed M80 | 73c | 39.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed NIP | 36c | 39.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed M80 | 73c | 34.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed M80 | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed M80 | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed M80 | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed M80 | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 73c | 28.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked M80 | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 48c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed M80 | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed M80 | 56c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked M80 | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed M80 | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked M80 | 73c | 18.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked M80 | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierNIP won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.