CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bb354ad5cb264f7664937942a79ef2d79f5116360ff240eb8cc1490ec45cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof M80, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed M80 | 44c | 20,191$8,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,884.17 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked NIP | 55c | 11,491$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.35 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed NIP | 56c | 10,472$5,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.56 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked M80 | 46c | 10,080$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.06 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked NIP | 55c | 8,660$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.99 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed M80 | 46c | 7,866$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.42 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0c…832dbacked NIP | 57c | 6,572$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed M80 | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked NIP | 68c | 5,236$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.2 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed NIP | 42c | 4,658$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked M80 | 31c | 4,395$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.1 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed NIP | 56c | 4,120$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NIP | 53c | 4,052$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.33 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed NIP | 58c | 4,034$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.79 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed NIP | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 45c | 3,734$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.64 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed M80 | 11c | 3,578$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.88 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 53c | 3,389$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.44 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NIP | 42c | 3,114$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.27 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed M80 | 43c | 3,083$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.87 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed M80 | 46c | 2,950$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.49 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked M80 | 43c | 2,900$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.99 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked NIP | 60c | 2,763$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.82 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed NIP | 55c | 2,500$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.83 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NIP | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…6209backed NIP | 56c | 2,350$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked NIP | 56c | 2,350$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked M80 | 36c | 2,293$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.69 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked M80 | 45c | 2,255$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.69 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked M80 | 62c | 2,176$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.3 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed NIP | 52c | 2,175$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.69 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked NIP | 72c | 2,044$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.89 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked M80 | 50c | 1,989$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed M80 | 50c | 1,978$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked M80 | 45c | 1,799$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.55 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked NIP | 48c | 1,599$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.36 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 45c | 1,597$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed M80 | 47c | 1,503$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.41 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed NIP | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 55c | 1,490$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.28 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed M80 | 40c | 1,478$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.85 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed NIP | 46c | 1,369$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.8 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked M80 | 2c | 1,358$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked NIP | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed M80 | 40c | 1,290$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 56c | 1,268$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.86 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed NIP | 42c | 1,255$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.08 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked NIP | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 52c | 1,220$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked M80 | 42c | 1,180$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed M80 | 32c | 1,170$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed NIP | 64c | 1,095$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.06 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 51c | 1,094$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.72 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked NIP | 55c | 1,051$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.82 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…d48fbacked NIP | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked NIP | 68c | 1,040$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed NIP | 34c | 1,003$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.86 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed M80 | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.92 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed M80 | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed M80 | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed M80 | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed NIP | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NIP | 55c | 999.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.6 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed M80 | 45c | 962.51$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.12 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 56c | 952.36$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.04 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked M80 | 26c | 888$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked M80 | 64c | 851.2$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.2 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 33c | 837.9$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.33 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked M80 | 14c | 817$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked M80 | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed M80 | 62c | 790.43$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.71 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP | 39c | 764.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.6 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed M80 | 45c | 745$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed M80 | 66c | 731.74$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed NIP | 60c | 727.33$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked M80 | 36c | 704.71$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…2399backed M80 | 43c | 701.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed NIP | 56c | 683.55$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.76 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP | 57c | 674.5$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.85 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP | 56c | 670$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked M80 | 61c | 654.44$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.22 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed M80 | 46c | 651.02$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.03 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed NIP | 56c | 625.95$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.42 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed M80 | 39c | 623.51$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…b807backed NIP | 57c | 611.91$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.91 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP | 50c | 611.5$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed M80 | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked NIP | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed NIP | 53c | 571.55$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed M80 | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked M80 | 45c | 505$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed NIP | 68c | 500$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…0cd0backed M80 | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed M80 | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed M80 | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed NIP | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed M80 | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…4debbacked M80 | 29c | 493.1$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed M80 | 46c | 469.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed M80 | 39c | 469.63$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierNIP won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.