TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof M80, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed M8044c20,191$8,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,884.1733343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked NIP55c11,491$6,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,213.353729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed NIP56c10,472$5,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.5646149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked M8046c10,080$4,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,636.0625655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked NIP55c8,660$4,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.9938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed M8046c7,866$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.4237646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e0c…832dbacked NIP57c6,572$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,827.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed M8065c6,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.998670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked NIP68c5,236$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.243152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed NIP42c4,658$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,682.986450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked M8031c4,395$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.138454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fec…e218backed NIP56c4,120$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.82751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NIP53c4,052$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.3388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed NIP58c4,034$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.799952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed NIP55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8007450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed M8045c3,734$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.642,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed M8011c3,578$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8821135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP53c3,389$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.441,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed NIP42c3,114$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.271,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed M8043c3,083$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.878246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed M8046c2,950$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.498441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked M8043c2,900$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.991,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked NIP60c2,763$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.8219229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed NIP55c2,500$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.839550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NIP53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1751,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf2…6209backed NIP56c2,350$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked NIP56c2,350$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03410644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked M8036c2,293$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.6922241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked M8045c2,255$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.6915838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked M8062c2,176$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed NIP52c2,175$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.6911149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked NIP72c2,044$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8911546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked M8050c1,989$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed M8050c1,978$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9895455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked M8045c1,799$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.551,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked NIP48c1,599$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.3616142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8045c1,597$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7121,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed M8047c1,503$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.417459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed NIP42c1,500$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.997844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NIP55c1,490$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.2852150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed M8040c1,478$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.8535953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed NIP46c1,369$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.845646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked M802c1,358$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1727548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked NIP54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.314147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed M8040c1,290$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5163540%14 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP56c1,268$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.861,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0378…7634backed NIP42c1,255$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.085959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked NIP53c1,250$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP52c1,220$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.076,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked M8042c1,180$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed M8032c1,170$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed NIP64c1,095$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.061,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP51c1,094$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.7240137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked NIP55c1,051$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.828556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c23…d48fbacked NIP50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked NIP68c1,040$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.822449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c6…0123backed NIP34c1,003$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.866743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed M8046c1,002$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.926546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed M8039c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010030%30 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed M8042c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42032732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed M8043c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43015838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed NIP55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9914847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed NIP55c999.1$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed M8045c962.51$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.125160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NIP56c952.36$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.042,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked M8026c888$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.881,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked M8064c851.2$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.22,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked M8033c837.9$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.334,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked M8014c817$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0638032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked M8043c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34419849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed M8062c790.43$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7135054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP39c764.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.629449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed M8045c745$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2518736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed M8066c731.74$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48223861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed NIP60c727.33$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9915962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked M8036c704.71$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9513834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45a…2399backed M8043c701.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.865446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed NIP56c683.55$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.769254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP57c674.5$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.852,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP56c670$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.855845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked M8061c654.44$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.225850%29 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed M8046c651.02$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0311949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed NIP56c625.95$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4236446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed M8039c623.51$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24418037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5954…b807backed NIP57c611.91$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.917664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP50c611.5$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.073,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed M8054c599.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.997856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked NIP45c599.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9919443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed NIP53c571.55$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.141,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed M8055c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked M8045c505$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.254751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed NIP68c500$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…0cd0backed M8036c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed M8044c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed M8068c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.992556%14 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed NIP56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22011135.1%39 W · 72 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed M8064c499.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.997944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07c0…4debbacked M8029c493.1$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-81.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed M8046c469.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.28452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed M8039c469.63$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4416633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.