CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbca6b112a1c0c759ee3c8cb04aed49b641b6ed152ada9a5ea3ac374280a4852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof M80, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NIP | 64c | 25,472$16,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,087.59 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed NIP | 67c | 20,300$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.78 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 33c | 7,592$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.91 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed M80 | 37c | 6,582$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.41 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed M80 | 42c | 6,180$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…b807backed NIP | 57c | 5,619$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.82 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked M80 | 31c | 5,388$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.75 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked M80 | 33c | 5,173$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.19 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed NIP | 73c | 4,993$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.3 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked NIP | 61c | 4,879$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.35 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed M80 | 52c | 4,575$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.62 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked M80 | 43c | 4,292$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.95 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed M80 | 51c | 3,569$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed M80 | 47c | 3,275$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.08 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 58c | 3,057$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked M80 | 39c | 2,949$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.53 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked NIP | 50c | 2,891$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.72 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked M80 | 53c | 2,700$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked NIP | 45c | 2,500$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.99 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed NIP | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.97 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 39c | 2,488$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.65 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked NIP | 36c | 2,465$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.58 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked M80 | 31c | 2,438$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.65 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked M80 | 45c | 2,418$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 41c | 2,416$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked M80 | 45c | 2,107$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.1 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed NIP | 51c | 2,039$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.22 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked NIP | 45c | 1,984$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.64 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked M80 | 45c | 1,952$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.87 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed NIP | 60c | 1,850$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked NIP | 48c | 1,718$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.18 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…94d0backed M80 | 54c | 1,672$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.65 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed M80 | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed NIP | 31c | 1,575$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.92 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed M80 | 55c | 1,504$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.98 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked M80 | 56c | 1,443$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.28 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked NIP | 56c | 1,402$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.82 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed M80 | 65c | 1,361$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.72 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked M80 | 70c | 1,357$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked NIP | 19c | 1,264$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.75 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed M80 | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 35c | 1,177$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.04 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked M80 | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 55c | 1,112$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.05 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked M80 | 51c | 1,110$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.13 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed M80 | 33c | 1,099$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.95 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…3966backed M80 | 55c | 1,071$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked M80 | 52c | 1,016$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.84 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed M80 | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed NIP | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked NIP | 20c | 938.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.76 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 54c | 923.53$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 35c | 900.04$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.25 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked M80 | 22c | 895.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.27 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed NIP | 57c | 855.21$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NIP | 49c | 854.97$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.36 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed M80 | 54c | 806.52$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed M80 | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761c…0808backed M80 | 53c | 798.95$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed M80 | 65c | 780.77$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed M80 | 55c | 760.5$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.02 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked M80 | 39c | 738.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.68 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NIP | 49c | 729.38$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.98 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed M80 | 19c | 700$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked M80 | 66c | 680.7$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.26 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed NIP | 50c | 667$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed M80 | 45c | 666.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed M80 | 50c | 656.57$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.13 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked M80 | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked M80 | 49c | 606.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked NIP | 46c | 601.5$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.12 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed M80 | 39c | 600.01$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.53 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed M80 | 44c | 586.36$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed M80 | 54c | 579$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.66 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed M80 | 61c | 572.47$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked NIP | 25c | 560$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…f0d6backed M80 | 54c | 552.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed NIP | 37c | 543.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.67 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 35c | 540.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.25 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed M80 | 46c | 533.72$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed M80 | 22c | 520$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed M80 | 51c | 515.16$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.73 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed NIP | 44c | 514$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed M80 | 46c | 503$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed M80 | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked M80 | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed M80 | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked M80 | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked NIP | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked M80 | 51c | 499.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed NIP | 54c | 488.96$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed NIP | 63c | 472.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP | 38c | 459.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed M80 | 50c | 455.18$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.59 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 26c | 448.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.47 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked NIP | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked M80 | 35c | 422.9$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked M80 | 50c | 418.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed M80 | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierNIP won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.