Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1d251640fe6830237c5e7e461d0509fc2238faf98fb9e1d424c246e588522cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Nova Esports | 69c | 14,500$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked JD Gaming | 26c | 10,776$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.05 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked JD Gaming | 36c | 6,662$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nova Esports | 68c | 5,650$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.98 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 78c | 4,739$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.53 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed Nova Esports | 64c | 4,600$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.78 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nova Esports | 79c | 4,185$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.76 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed JD Gaming | 28c | 3,360$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.23 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed JD Gaming | 34c | 3,088$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.74 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Nova Esports | 75c | 3,066$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.99 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nova Esports | 74c | 2,376$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.16 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Nova Esports | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Nova Esports | 75c | 2,193$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.48 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed JD Gaming | 27c | 2,177$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.9 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed JD Gaming | 9c | 2,081$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nova Esports | 74c | 2,013$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.4 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -14.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Nova Esports | 72c | 1,935$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.61 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports | 72c | 1,897$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.38 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…e9d5backed JD Gaming | 27c | 1,879$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JD Gaming | 27c | 1,842$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.55 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nova Esports | 78c | 1,802$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.38 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Nova Esports | 68c | 1,721$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed JD Gaming | 28c | 1,623$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.02 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e27…5f33backed Nova Esports | 69c | 1,586$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Nova Esports | 73c | 1,379$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked JD Gaming | 22c | 1,286$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.49 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed JD Gaming | 33c | 1,204$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.45 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Nova Esports | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.85 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed JD Gaming | 33c | 1,191$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.83 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Nova Esports | 68c | 1,069$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.04 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed JD Gaming | 25c | 1,058$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.55 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…780fbacked Nova Esports | 72c | 1,051$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed JD Gaming | 20c | 1,031$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Nova Esports | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked JD Gaming | 27c | 973.62$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.24 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed JD Gaming | 24c | 967.52$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.94 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked JD Gaming | 35c | 926.16$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Nova Esports | 70c | 891.64$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed JD Gaming | 32c | 815.96$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.07 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed JD Gaming | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed JD Gaming | 10c | 799.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Nova Esports | 62c | 795.7$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1e59backed Nova Esports | 64c | 779.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming | 31c | 770.89$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.83 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Nova Esports | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JD Gaming | 26c | 693.9$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Nova Esports | 74c | 687.02$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked JD Gaming | 36c | 674.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked JD Gaming | 25c | 667.23$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked JD Gaming | 33c | 657.05$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed JD Gaming | 35c | 636$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nova Esports | 74c | 633.01$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed JD Gaming | 28c | 626$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…3bf0backed Nova Esports | 67c | 604.03$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Nova Esports | 66c | 601.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.54 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Nova Esports | 70c | 597.32$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed JD Gaming | 44c | 581.54$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nova Esports | 74c | 579.24$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dad…6e45backed Nova Esports | 67c | 578.86$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed Nova Esports | 69c | 549.96$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked JD Gaming | 33c | 510$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Nova Esports | 79c | 504.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked JD Gaming | 39c | 502.08$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked JD Gaming | 38c | 500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Nova Esports | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Nova Esports | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nova Esports | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed JD Gaming | 13c | 489.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed JD Gaming | 28c | 488.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked JD Gaming | 31c | 483.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed Nova Esports | 75c | 479.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed JD Gaming | 41c | 449.71$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Nova Esports | 73c | 444.45$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked JD Gaming | 16c | 427.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed JD Gaming | 37c | 420.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nova Esports | 73c | 417.77$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb5…f15abacked JD Gaming | 25c | 413.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JD Gaming | 29c | 411$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Nova Esports | 69c | 402.83$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…71e9backed JD Gaming | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked JD Gaming | 29c | 396.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nova Esports | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked JD Gaming | 23c | 374$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked JD Gaming | 28c | 365.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed JD Gaming | 20c | 364.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed JD Gaming | 31c | 354.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked JD Gaming | 20c | 352.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed Nova Esports | 65c | 343.37$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…cf38backed Nova Esports | 58c | 338.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Nova Esports | 76c | 328.91$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked JD Gaming | 24c | 322.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…0149backed JD Gaming | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed JD Gaming | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Nova Esports | 69c | 289.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked JD Gaming | 34c | 284.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e79…1763backed Nova Esports | 67c | 282.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed JD Gaming | 36c | 278.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Nova Esports | 67c | 268.22$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed JD Gaming | 34c | 262.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked JD Gaming | 34c | 262.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)Nova Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)Nova Esports won
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.