TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked JD Gaming43c11,585$4,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,929.6512652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Nova Esports57c11,111$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.7224145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nova Esports74c3,891$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.237940.5%32 W · 47 L-15.6wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-39.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed JD Gaming42c2,371$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.1419648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed JD Gaming37c1,627$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.631,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming33c893.84$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.131,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports47c859.49$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.579650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed JD Gaming36c703.47$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9815038%57 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Nova Esports50c647.22$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed JD Gaming42c624.69$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4844441.9%186 W · 258 L-22.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Nova Esports65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.385455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed JD Gaming44c537.22$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7456557.7%326 W · 239 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed JD Gaming43c530.33$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.121,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Nova Esports46c500.07$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5955348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e79…1763backed Nova Esports61c476.24$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Nova Esports74c453.46$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3812962.8%81 W · 48 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed JD Gaming42c445.49$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0781834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked JD Gaming43c437.6$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.91,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked JD Gaming25c437$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.252835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports58c420.94$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6693649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked JD Gaming45c411.19$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.341,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Nova Esports63c400$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.766636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…2d5ebacked Nova Esports65c387.61$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Nova Esports56c356.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1212856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked JD Gaming49c353.01$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.811,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked JD Gaming41c350$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.53432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nova Esports49c335.28$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.951344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed JD Gaming38c332.47$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3463955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Nova Esports62c325.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.421181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked Nova Esports62c296.47$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6612056.7%68 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming35c286.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2353742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked JD Gaming36c282$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.496945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Nova Esports75c250$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5522455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked JD Gaming21c247.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0322539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Nova Esports67c225.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.194850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc290…2e06backed JD Gaming6c219.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35414.8%8 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Nova Esports55c201.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.645162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked JD Gaming28c187.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8978344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x928d…ca45backed JD Gaming21c179.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385226.9%14 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed JD Gaming36c178.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8536446.2%168 W · 196 L+24.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39a9…c69ebacked JD Gaming34c174.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Nova Esports72c166.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.451776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Nova Esports46c162.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3711738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Nova Esports60c161.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.284355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked JD Gaming26c160.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8723644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Nova Esports71c157.59$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0740345.9%185 W · 218 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Nova Esports65c151.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.918357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked JD Gaming13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed JD Gaming42c141.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7665347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed JD Gaming36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed JD Gaming33c133.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4733838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nova Esports71c114.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0289344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed JD Gaming20c109.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.219838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked JD Gaming37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0439350.9%200 W · 193 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked JD Gaming34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked JD Gaming37c97.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4791333.2%303 W · 610 L-89.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed Nova Esports54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked JD Gaming19c87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3670543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…823bbacked Nova Esports74c86.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.492065%13 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x728c…3a79backed Nova Esports72c86.11$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked Nova Esports63c79.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.689965.7%65 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Nova Esports64c78.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.637156.3%40 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdc…333dbacked JD Gaming26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed JD Gaming38c68.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269540%38 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Nova Esports62c68.42$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614955.7%83 W · 66 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked JD Gaming28c65.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6442140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nova Esports72c64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0575142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Nova Esports63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.496053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked JD Gaming40c63.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.423132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Nova Esports63c56.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8614454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nova Esports60c54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7957550.6%291 W · 284 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Nova Esports65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8513044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked JD Gaming21c51.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.824233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed JD Gaming50c46.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2323836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked JD Gaming41c42.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6755637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked JD Gaming36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511735%41 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2153backed Nova Esports60c41.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Nova Esports62c39.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.955459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38e8…e69cbacked Nova Esports62c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.685042%21 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed JD Gaming56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.69640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed Nova Esports58c34.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9291…63d0backed JD Gaming59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205076%38 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8c…3f96backed Nova Esports64c33.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Nova Esports71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.138552.9%45 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Nova Esports69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.