Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce0ec53d414f34ce24ef449e44a33aabda9fa03cd9b6a216b48821414f83418a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Nova Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nova Esports | 38c | 1,088$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.1 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked JD Gaming | 53c | 927.65$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.58 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming | 58c | 888$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed JD Gaming | 64c | 583.33$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked JD Gaming | 58c | 580.29$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.57 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Nova Esports | 45c | 478.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.65 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…778abacked Nova Esports | 42c | 478.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e27…5f33backed Nova Esports | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked JD Gaming | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e79…1763backed Nova Esports | 48c | 416.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports | 54c | 374.08$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed JD Gaming | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed JD Gaming | 63c | 332.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked JD Gaming | 51c | 316.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Nova Esports | 47c | 307$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Nova Esports | 51c | 298.69$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Nova Esports | 41c | 245.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Nova Esports | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed JD Gaming | 51c | 208.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked JD Gaming | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed JD Gaming | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed JD Gaming | 54c | 187.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked JD Gaming | 48c | 185.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed JD Gaming | 47c | 180.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nova Esports | 55c | 180.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed JD Gaming | 59c | 148$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nova Esports | 44c | 126.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked JD Gaming | 55c | 125.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Nova Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed JD Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked JD Gaming | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed JD Gaming | 58c | 99.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nova Esports | 45c | 97.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Nova Esports | 41c | 93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Nova Esports | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked Nova Esports | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed JD Gaming | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked JD Gaming | 29c | 81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed JD Gaming | 55c | 72.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked Nova Esports | 41c | 53.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nova Esports | 51c | 50.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nova Esports | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Nova Esports | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed JD Gaming | 51c | 42.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…780fbacked Nova Esports | 41c | 40.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed JD Gaming | 78c | 37.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Nova Esports | 45c | 35.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Nova Esports | 52c | 21.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…218bbacked JD Gaming | 51c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed JD Gaming | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked JD Gaming | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)Nova Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)Nova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.