TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$277,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over61c50,000$30,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,497.52,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Under39c50,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,499.932466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c33,134$20,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,828.822,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over57c17,544$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.8616947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under39c12,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.9523949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under40c11,606$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,625.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00017642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c7,684$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under39c6,702$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.7870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under39c6,527$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.4413746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over61c6,334$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.4340655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Over60c6,201$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.287835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over61c5,591$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.445435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under38c5,547$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.691,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over60c5,118$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.0674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9504452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under40c4,599$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.62751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce55…f9d9backed Over61c4,444$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.22951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c4,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over60c3,979$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.61,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under45c3,009$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.8416050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over59c2,752$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under38c1,792$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.2397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over63c1,770$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.912,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c1,749$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.722,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over59c1,682$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.7437955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3417636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3439…930fbacked Over61c1,475$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.412040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under38c1,394$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.293,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c1,306$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.093,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5076749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over62c1,221$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.653,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under38c1,196$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.686455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under41c1,116$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.819650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44014450.7%73 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7be…4b60backed Under39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9924635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under40c959.98$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9919436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over62c861.73$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.161,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over64c854.13$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.673852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under2c751$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.272,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under42c714.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over58c660.89$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under4c640$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under40c635.7$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2813736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c633.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over61c622.95$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.959552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under37c510$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.714745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Over59c509.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1412452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…1d0cbacked Over62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30498.2%4 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+98.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e7…d6b7backed Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c6…3c8abacked Under41c489.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under37c451.36$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16712344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under41c441.78$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over61c437.78$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9917533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over61c433$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.541,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over60c424.47$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over59c416.77$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8419939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Over57c350.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8711227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a22…0fe8backed Under40c325$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over61c300$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.051,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12628164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12a…3517backed Over60c298.35$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over59c295.17$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.442,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over60c294.01$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3cf…9dc0backed Under39c281.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6612042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under43c263.37$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.254744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over57c262.79$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5333438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under40c257.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.095930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…9088backed Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70f5…82b5backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over60c249.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…334cbacked Over61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.94231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over61c245.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9414323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under42c245.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1821050%105 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under42c238.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Under43c232$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.768032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under38c211.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5342755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1269…8162backed Over57c207.61$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd26d…a951backed Under44c205.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.978037.5%30 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over62c204.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.111,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under38c200.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.281,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over58c196.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9112528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over56c194.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7918448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under43c181.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0923637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over61c179.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.192,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x078e…9d94backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575137.3%19 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under43c177.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2732444.1%143 W · 181 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.