TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c72,350$37,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,056.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over49c50,058$24,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,530.4117852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x631a…b631backed Over49c17,302$8,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,847.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under51c13,812$7,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,076.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over49c11,428$5,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,809.4638329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Over48c9,789$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,090.915234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c6,961$3,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,535.492,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c2,900$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c2,801$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.2777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c2,065$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.222,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under51c1,901$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.5238948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Under53c1,876$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under51c1,203$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.1720156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over48c1,079$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9412853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.82,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.82,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.83,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.23751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over45c674.08$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2412235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over48c598.8$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.881,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under52c573.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009741.2%40 W · 57 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under51c528.78$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.681,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over49c508.37$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3731520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c441$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under51c434.75$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.721,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1610549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over49c390$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c365.04$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under54c361.41$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Over47c310.77$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7118248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c294.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Over49c282.92$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9122419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Under52c270$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.48349.4%41 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c239.53$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.613,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bc…9ecfbacked Under53c232.83$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b63…ea16backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1071,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over48c199.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9912831.3%40 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c199.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.562,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over49c198.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2856240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under51c189$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3914323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over49c179.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.632,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under51c173.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0532055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e47…7728backed Over46c169.78$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dab…70aebacked Under51c167.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2516160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over52c147.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under52c139.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1266056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under51c133.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9611054.5%60 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over47c130.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.471,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over49c108.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.411,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd558…ab25backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174922.4%11 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab82…1353backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.178354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdca4…806fbacked Under51c103.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.924151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Over49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0216341.7%68 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c101.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under51c99.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9946247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over49c99.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5948937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under51c96.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.281,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over48c95.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over77c92.27$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.637755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3bc…bef3backed Under51c87.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.681450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under51c85.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.434427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over49c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6948154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea56…8de3backed Over49c84.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.191369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Under51c82.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0721051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.142554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c78.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.151,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c74.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.52,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.426344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8202…f6a5backed Over47c52.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.833839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…5162backed Under51c52.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.567354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5632158.3%187 W · 134 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…f3a7backed Under51c46.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c44.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0563255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Under51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4233059.1%195 W · 135 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5928…1f1dbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over48c40.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db9…a4a8backed Under33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.07355.7%2 W · 33 L-16.1wins-0.46per pick52cpaid-91.8%equal weight20-0.27 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under51c39.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2836448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under52c36.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.824759.1%146 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under52c31.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0315151%77 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6130148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under51c28.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4616149.7%80 W · 81 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under51c27.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1665253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under51c26.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7125857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Under51c25.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.197150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under51c25.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1815855.7%88 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under51c25.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1817553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…8294backed Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1134551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.